Round 3

Panthers v Broncos

Thursday 21 March 2024•09:00

BlueBet Stadium, Penrith

Gerard Sutton

Panthers

34 - 1222 HT 2

Broncos

Sunia Turuva13'

Izack Tago21'

Mitch Kenny24'

Izack Tago36'

Brian To'o45'

Brian To'o49'

Deine Mariner55'

Jesse Arthars60'

Best Bets0

All tips

Tryscorer stats

Player

Success

Odds

Dylan EdwardsD. Edwards

Reece WalshR. Walsh

Sunia TuruvaS. Turuva

Jesse ArtharsJ. Arthars

Izack TagoI. Tago

Kotoni StaggsK. Staggs

Taylan MayT. May

Selwyn CobboS. Cobbo

Brian To'oB. To'o

Deine MarinerD. Mariner

Odds Outliers

Player

Average

Vs Opposition

Team form

Bulldogs

28 - 4

Panthers

16 - 16

Raiders

Panthers

18 - 18

Storm

Knights

12 - 48

Panthers

Titans

26 - 26

Panthers

36 - 2

Wests Tigers

Panthers

30 - 10

Rabbitohs

Eels

10 - 32

Panthers

8 - 6

Bulldogs

Warriors

18 - 28

Panthers

Win

70%

Loss

30%

Bulldogs

28 - 4

Panthers

16 - 16

Raiders

Panthers

18 - 18

Storm

Knights

12 - 48

Panthers

Titans

26 - 26

Panthers

36 - 2

Wests Tigers

Panthers

30 - 10

Rabbitohs

Eels

10 - 32

Panthers

8 - 6

Bulldogs

Warriors

18 - 28

Panthers

Win

70%

Loss

30%

Knights

12 - 46

Broncos

38 - 28

Dolphins

Storm

22 - 2

Broncos

60 - 14

Rabbitohs

Broncos

20 - 22

Eels

Titans

14 - 26

Broncos

Bulldogs

18 - 22

Broncos

26 - 12

Warriors

Broncos

34 - 28

Sharks

Broncos

44 - 14

Titans

Win

80%

Loss

20%

Head-to-head

0Wins

0Draws

0Wins

+/-

PTS

243

184

275

222

112

-38

-129

-126

-70

-59

-167

-155

-188

-287

Same-game Multi Tips

Lost

Ezra Mam

Anytime tryscorer

Dylan Edwards

Anytime tryscorer

Panthers

Head to Head

Over (+11.5)

Penrith Panthers 1st Half Total Points

Over (+5.5)

Brisbane Broncos 1st Half Total Points

Best odds

$28

bedz11

Given Haas is out in addition to Reynolds I am going to back Panthers for the win. Ezra had the performance of his life against the Panthers in last year's final and I expect him to find some of that magic for this game. Dylan Edwards was strong last week and based on the data, Broncos have defensive exposure in the Center. Over 5.5pts for the Broncos and over 11.5pts for the Panthers in the first half also seem good value based on round 2 data (Broncos scored 12 pts and Panthers 16 pts by half time last week).

Lost

Broncos 5-8 Points

Half-time Margin

Ezra Mam

Anytime Tryscorer

Kotoni Staggs

First, Second or Third Tryscorer

Yes

Either Team to Win by 13+

Best odds

$2501

unicorn

+2180

Call me crazy, but the Broncos at $4 has to be the best value of the week. Reynolds hasn't been great this season so far. So no Reynolds, no biggie. Everything is against em', so all the more reason to win, and win well. This means there's value to be found, and boy have I found it here. Panthers are yet to hit their stride, so Broncos to Win by 13+ isn't out of the question. EDIT.. You can get the same odds for Either Team to win by 13+.

Lost

Moses Leota

Anytime Tryscorer

Deine Mariner

Anytime Tryscorer

Best odds

$34

thedroppunt

-20

Panthers v Broncos sets up to be a lot closer than the bookies are giving credit for. Looking to see the Panthers playing tight through the middle targeting some slower Brisbane forwards. Moses Leota comes off a try last week and looking to keep a good thing going. Deine Mariner...enough said. Great value for a two leg multi. Go get em.

Lost

Taylan May

Anytime Tryscorer

Penrith Panthers 1-12

Big Win Little Win

11 to 20 Points

Brisbane Broncos Total Point Bands

Best odds

$14

gastrader

+67

Difficult game for the broncs with Reynolds out and a few under an injury cloud. I'm going with Penrith (Under the proviso that Payne and Ezra are playing) to win a close one. Taylan May has been an absolute beast to start the season and the Bronc's edge defense with new combinations has looked a little suspect so have put him in there. I still expect the broncos to score at least two tries so 2.15 for 11-20 seems like the most logical outcome.

Lost

Broncos

Head to Head

Brendan Piakura

Anytime Tryscorer

Scott Sorensen

Anytime Tryscorer

Best odds

$160

bigpapanapa

-10

JFH's absence leaves the Panthers vulnerable, having lost to the Tigers in 2023 without him. The Broncos, showing resilience even without Reynolds with a 2-1 record last year, are a steal at $4. Piakura goes over along with a couple of snapped Panthers’ ankles and it looks like Broncos weakness in 2024 is their middle so watch Sorensen capitalise. Neds coming through with a whopping $160, thank you very much!

Lost

Ezra Mam

Anytime Try Scorer

Izack Tago

Anytime Try Scorer

Sunia Turuva

To Score 2+ Tries

Panthers

Head to Head

Best odds

$101

girthquake

-5

The left defense of the Broncos has been exposed and undermanned a few times this season. I dare say the Panthers would have picked up on this, and will be punishing it Thursday. If you take Ezra out of this you'll end up with a nice 20-1 multi that I'll be backing as well

Lost

Deine Mariner

Anytime tryscorer

Kotoni Staggs

Anytime tryscorer

Broncos 1-12

Big Win Little Win

Best odds

$38.75

diggitydawg

The Broncos have taken some heavy hits with Reynolds and Haas out for this clash of last year’s grand finalists, but Penrith aren’t looking anywhere near their best just yet. Staggs had an excellent 2023 and is due one over the line. Calling an upset with help from the electric new recruit Deine Mariner!

NRL Tipping Comp

Pick one tryscorer for each game

Broncos v Sea Eagles

Reece Walsh

1.8

Storm v Bulldogs

Jahrome Hughes

3.1

Dolphins v Sharks

Thomas Flegler

Selecting players with higher odds will score you more points. Higher the risk – higher the reward.

Highest combined score wins

Free to play every round

Panthers v Broncos

Best Bets0

Tryscorer stats

Odds Outliers

Vs Opposition

Team form

Head-to-head

Same-game Multi Tips

NRL Tipping Comp

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