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Round 6

Dragons v Titans

Friday 11 April 202508:00

WIN Stadium, Wollongong

Chris Butler

Insights / Tips

Player name

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

A+

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

7%

Edge

+13%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 7%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 1+

A+

Win rate

30%

Implied odds

16%

Edge

+14%

Won in 3 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 30% is higher than bookie’s odds of 16%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Best odds
neds

Player name

Last Tryscorer

A+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

3%

Edge

+7%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 3%.

Center mismatch
Matchup Strength
Best odds
neds

Player name

Tries 2+

B+

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

17%

Edge

+23%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 17%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

Tries 2+

B+

Win rate

10%

Implied odds

6%

Edge

+4%

Won in 1 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 10% is higher than bookie’s odds of 6%.

Center mismatch
Best odds
sb

Player name

First Team Tryscorer

B

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

21%

Edge

+19%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 21%.

Best odds
sb

Player name

Tries 1+

B-

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

29%

Edge

+11%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 29%.

Best odds
tab

Player name

Last Tryscorer

B-

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

5%

Edge

+15%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 5%.

Best odds
tab

V. Holmes

Tries 1+

C+

Win rate

50%

Implied odds

42%

Edge

+8%

Won in 5 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 50% is higher than bookie’s odds of 42%.

Best odds
tab$2.4

V. Holmes

Tries 2+

C+

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

13%

Edge

+7%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 13%.

Best odds
tab$7.5

J. Su'a

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

11%

Edge

+9%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 11%.

Best odds
neds$8.75

A. Brimson

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

13%

Edge

+8%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 13%.

Best odds
tab$8

C. Tuipulotu

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

40%

Implied odds

30%

Edge

+10%

Won in 4 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 40% is higher than bookie’s odds of 30%.

Best odds
neds$3.3

B. Fermor

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

10%

Edge

+10%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 10%.

Best odds
neds$10.5

J. Campbell

1st, 2nd or 3rd try

C+

Win rate

20%

Implied odds

13%

Edge

+7%

Won in 2 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 20% is higher than bookie’s odds of 13%.

Best odds
neds$7.5

C. Tuipulotu

Tries 1+

C+

Win rate

70%

Implied odds

61%

Edge

+9%

Won in 7 of their last 10 games. Season win rate of 70% is higher than bookie’s odds of 61%.

Best odds
neds$1.65

Tryscorer stats

Player

Success

Odds

B. Kelly

-

tab$4.0
V. Holmes

-

tab$2.4
C. Tuipulotu

-

neds$1.6
K. Flanagan

-

sb$3.8
P. Sami

-

tab$2.5
A. Brimson

-

tab$3.5
J. De Groot

-

sb$3.3
T. Sloan

-

neds$1.8
T. Francis

-

sb$2.2
M. Suli

-

tab$3.1

Odds Outliers

Player
Average
sportsbet_odds
tab_odds
ladbrokes_oddsladbrokes_odds

Add

Vs Opposition

Team form

Roosters
oppositionTeamId
46 - 18
oppositionTeamId
Dragons
Sea Eagles
oppositionTeamId
18 - 20
oppositionTeamId
Dragons
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
38 - 16
oppositionTeamId
Titans
Eels
oppositionTeamId
22 - 22
oppositionTeamId
Dragons
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
14 - 8
oppositionTeamId
Storm
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
24 - 25
oppositionTeamId
Rabbitohs
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
20 - 28
oppositionTeamId
Bulldogs
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
24 - 26
oppositionTeamId
Raiders
Eels
oppositionTeamId
44 - 40
oppositionTeamId
Dragons
Dragons
oppositionTeamId
10 - 38
oppositionTeamId
Sharks
Win
30%
Loss
70%

Head-to-head

Dragons
0Wins
0Draws
0Wins
Titans
#
PL
W
L
+/-
PTS
1
7
6
1
74
14
2
7
5
2
78
12
3
8
6
2
58
12
4
7
5
2
-6
12
5
8
5
3
80
10
6
7
4
3
-10
10
7
8
4
4
41
8
8
8
4
4
36
8
10
7
3
4
-7
8
11
8
4
4
-44
8
12
8
3
5
16
6
13
8
3
5
-52
6
14
7
2
5
-68
6
15
7
2
5
-74
6
16
7
2
5
-108
6
17
8
2
6
-26
4

NRL Tipping Comp

Pick one tryscorer for each game
Broncos v Sea Eagles

Reece Walsh

1.8

Storm v Bulldogs

Jahrome Hughes

3.1

Dolphins v Sharks

Thomas Flegler

8

Selecting players with higher odds will score you more points. Higher the risk – higher the reward.

Highest combined score wins
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