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NRL Best Bets & Tips, Round 23

All Matches
All Markets
Edge %
Dolphins

Implied odds

sb

42%

M
Model
61%(+19%)

Our model predicts Dolphins will achieve this 61% of the time, giving an edge of +19%.

H
Historical
45%(+3%)

Hit in 9 of 20 games this season

Best
sb$2.39
Dolphins

Implied odds

sb

37%

M
Model
56%(+18%)

Our model predicts Dolphins will achieve this 56% of the time, giving an edge of +18%.

H
Historical
40%(+3%)

Hit in 8 of 20 games this season

Best
sb$2.67
Dolphins

Implied odds

neds

50%

M
Model
67%(+17%)

Our model predicts Dolphins will achieve this 67% of the time, giving an edge of +17%.

H
Historical
50%(+1%)

Hit in 10 of 20 games this season

Best
neds$2.02
Dolphins

Implied odds

tab

54%

M
Model
70%(+16%)

Our model predicts Dolphins will achieve this 70% of the time, giving an edge of +16%.

H
Historical
55%(+1%)

Hit in 11 of 20 games this season

Best
tab$1.85
Dolphins

Implied odds

bet365

38%

M
Model
54%(+16%)

Our model predicts Dolphins will achieve this 54% of the time, giving an edge of +16%.

H
Historical
50%(+12%)

Hit in 10 of 20 games this season

Best
bet365$2.62

Line

Outcome name

Implied odds

sb

19%

M
Model
34%(+16%)

Our model predicts Dolphins will achieve this 34% of the time, giving an edge of +16%.

H
Historical
40%(+21%)

Hit in 8 of 20 games this season

Best
sb$5.4

Margin

Outcome name

Implied odds

tab

23%

M
Model
38%(+15%)

Our model predicts Dolphins will achieve this 38% of the time, giving an edge of +15%.

H
Historical
40%(+17%)

Hit in 8 of 20 games this season

Best
tab$4.4

Line

Outcome name

Implied odds

tab

54%

M
Model
68%(+14%)

Our model predicts Storm will achieve this 68% of the time, giving an edge of +14%.

H
Historical
70%(+16%)

Hit in 14 of 20 games this season

Best
tab$1.85

Win

Outcome name

Implied odds

bet365

22%

M
Model
35%(+13%)

Our model predicts Knights will achieve this 35% of the time, giving an edge of +13%.

H
Historical
30%(+8%)

Hit in 6 of 20 games this season

Best
bet365$4.5

Line

Outcome name

Implied odds

bet365

53%

M
Model
65%(+13%)

Our model predicts Knights will achieve this 65% of the time, giving an edge of +13%.

H
Historical
50%(-3%)

Hit in 10 of 20 games this season

Best
bet365$1.9

Line

Outcome name

Implied odds

tab

38%

M
Model
51%(+13%)

Our model predicts Storm will achieve this 51% of the time, giving an edge of +13%.

H
Historical
45%(+7%)

Hit in 9 of 20 games this season

Best
tab$2.6

Line

Outcome name

Implied odds

tab

53%

M
Model
64%(+12%)

Our model predicts Rabbitohs will achieve this 64% of the time, giving an edge of +12%.

H
Historical
62%(+9%)

Hit in 13 of 21 games this season

Best
tab$1.9

Line

Outcome name

Implied odds

bet365

40%

M
Model
51%(+12%)

Our model predicts Knights will achieve this 51% of the time, giving an edge of +12%.

H
Historical
50%(+10%)

Hit in 10 of 20 games this season

Best
bet365$2.53

Margin

Outcome name

Implied odds

tab

34%

M
Model
46%(+12%)

Our model predicts Storm will achieve this 46% of the time, giving an edge of +12%.

H
Historical
40%(+6%)

Hit in 8 of 20 games this season

Best
tab$2.9

Line

Outcome name

Implied odds

bet365

15%

M
Model
27%(+12%)

Our model predicts Knights will achieve this 27% of the time, giving an edge of +12%.

H
Historical
20%(+5%)

Hit in 4 of 20 games this season

Best
bet365$6.5

How are best bets generated?

Our proprietary model analyzes a variety of data points including player form, team statistics, and historical matchups to calculate true probabilities for every betting market.

We then compare these probabilities against bookmaker odds to identify opportunities with positive expected value (EV) - bets where the true probability exceeds the implied odds, giving you a mathematical edge.

Understanding the metrics

Model: Predictions based on statistical analysis and thousands of simulations trained on recent performance.

Historical: Analysis of past performance to identify consistent patterns and trends.

Edge: The percentage advantage our model or historical analysis has over the bookmakers' implied probability

Which bookies do we offer?

We offer the 5 leading Australian bookies at the current time, including Sportsbet, Bet365, TAB, Neds and Ladbrokes.

Our odds are updated hourly allowing you to find the best bookie to use.

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